Out of all the races this election cycle, this is one of the few where I just cannot predict what will happen.
Jones certainly has name recognition, but it is for less than ideal reasons. Although she keeps getting cleared of wrongdoings, her name is constantly in the paper and on the news because of various scandals. Although it was a close race between Jones and Christie in 2009, Jones prevailed.
In 2009 Christie was the clear frontrunner with Jones. So if you were a voter who was completely angered with Jones’ performance, then you voted for Christie. I can’t say that this is the case this time. He got in the race late, and people might not remember his name from two years ago. It has yet to be seen if his entering so late will hurt him.
Robinson is the other candidate in the race who has a good chance of at least making it to a runoff. She already has many endorsements and is quickly gathering name recognition.
I don’t know who he is, and I cannot find a website for him. So I can’t really analyze his presence in the race other than to say that without a website (or one that is hard to find) at this point is probably bad news.
If the election was today, I really don’t know what would happen. Will Christie and Robinson split votes, causing Jones to prevail? Will Jones’ name recognition (regardless of the fact that it was bad press) cause her to win after all? Or will (maybe most likely) Jones and either Christie or Robinson make it to a run off? We will probably need to wait until closer to the election to really analyze this further. I think it is still too early for this one.