Mayor Parker has had a rough first term in office, some of which was her fault, some of which she inherited from Mayor White. Red light cameras, pay cuts, drainage fee, drought, a deficit, etc. With so many big issues surrounding her first term, you probably either love her or hate her. Some of the dissention even comes from her own party who are not fans of red light cameras or who thought that she went too far with the budget cuts. On the other hand, many people appreciate her leadership. The question remains whether enough people want to vote for another candidate. I think the answer is no. Despite the controversies, I think if the election was held today, she would win again.
Parker opponents really have two candidates to choose from: Fernando Herrera and Jack O’Connor. Simms, Ulman, and Wilson probably won’t fair as well. One side note about Wilson: he filed for office using an address that disqualified him in 2010 when he tried to run for county commissioner. He listed his business address, which is not in the city of Houston, while his wife has a separate residence. Mrs. Wilson is listed as the sole owner of the house, and she has a homestead exemption on it. We will see if anyone challenges this.
Herrera and O’Connor are both republicans and have both run for state house representative and have both lost. I think both will get their fair share of votes, but if you are a republican or maybe even a democrat or moderate who is not pleased with Parker, which one do you vote for? I don’t think either candidate has established themselves as a frontrunner. With that being said, I like both candidates, and both would be effective leaders… but if you only barely pay attention to the candidates before you vote (which is the case for many), I’m not sure you have a clear person between the two to vote for, and that is the complaint I’ve heard from many. With only about 16 days until early voting, someone is going to have to make a move for the top spot quickly.
So I think, unless something huge changes before the election, it seems like Parker will win again. We will see closer to the election if she is predicted to will win outright or if there will be a runoff.
Anyone disagree? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.